William Daley, former Secretary of Commerce in the Clinton administration and brother of Chicago mayor Richard Daley, wrote an op-ed in today's Washington Post warning Democrats to "keep the big tent" or face the wrath of the voters in 2010 and beyond.
The announcement by Alabama Rep. Parker Griffith that he is switching to the Republican Party is just the latest warning sign that the Democratic Party -- my lifelong political home -- has a critical decision to make: Either we plot a more moderate, centrist course or risk electoral disaster not just in the upcoming midterms but in many elections to come.
Clearly, Mr. Daley does not understand that transformative change is not without risks.
Rep. Griffith's decision makes him the fifth centrist Democrat to either switch parties or announce plans to retire rather than stand for reelection in 2010. These announcements are a sharp reversal from the progress the Democratic Party made starting in 2006 and continuing in 2008, when it reestablished itself as the nation's majority party for the first time in more than a decade.
Mr. Daley didn't mention it but Republican incompetence and corruption had a lot to do with the success of Democrats in '06 and '08.
But now they face a grim political fate. On the one hand, centrist Democrats are being vilified by left-wing bloggers, pundits and partisan news outlets for not being sufficiently liberal, "true" Democrats. On the other, Republicans are pounding them for their association with a party that seems to be advancing an agenda far to the left of most voters.
The political dangers of this situation could not be clearer.
Witness the losses in New Jersey and Virginia in this year's off-year elections. In those gubernatorial contests, the margin of victory was provided to Republicans by independents -- many of whom had voted for Obama. Just one year later, they had crossed back to the Republicans by 2-to-1 margins.
Witness the drumbeat of ominous poll results. Obama's approval rating has fallen below 49 percent overall and is even lower -- 41 percent -- among independents. On the question of which party is best suited to manage the economy, there has been a 30-point swing toward Republicanssince November 2008, according to Ipsos. Gallup's generic congressional ballot shows Republicans leading Democrats. There is not a hint of silver lining in these numbers. They are the quantitative expression of the swing bloc of American politics slipping away.
And, of course, witness the loss of Rep. Griffith and his fellow moderate Democrats who will retire. They are perhaps the truest canaries in the coal mine.
Barack Obama is all about transformative change, wealth redistribution and social justice and I believe that he is willing to lose seats in the short term -- even lose control of Congress -- in order to "level the playing field" and to make Americans even more dependent on the government than they already are. In Obama's mind, this will lead to permanent Democrat majorities in the future as the Democrats are the party of government.
Yes, "the future's so bright, I gotta' wear shades!"